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US-News

US Wahlen 2016

2016 President

To read recent stories on the 2016 presidential race, click here.
2016 Republican Presidential Watch

Updated Dec. 18, 2014
[TABLE="width: 600"]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000000, colspan: 5"][SIZE=+2]First Tier[/SIZE][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCCCCC, colspan: 5"]ABSOLUTELY EMPTY — still chaotic.[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000000, colspan: 5"][SIZE=+2]Second Tier: The Big Boys[/SIZE][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FD0034"]
[TH="colspan: 2"]Candidate[/TH]
[TH="width: 179"]Key Primary Advantages[/TH]
[TH="width: 179"]Key Primary Disadvantages[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD]
bush.png
[/TD]
[TD="width: 128"]Jeb Bush
Ex-Governor, FL[/TD]
[TD]•Strong gubernatorial resume
•Potential Hispanic appeal
•Early moves toward running might dissuade other establishment candidates from entering race
•National Bush money and organization[/TD]
[TD]•Wrong last name (Bush dynasty)
•Offshore private equity funds could be political headache
•Party has moved to the right[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="width: 50"]
paul_rand.png
[/TD]
[TD]Rand Paul
Senator, KY[/TD]
[TD]•Working hard, reaching out to diverse audience
•Most successful and prominent early campaign
•Strong support from libertarian and Tea Party wings
•National ID and fundraising network; benefits from father’s previous efforts[/TD]
[TD]•Too dovish/eclectic for GOP tastes? Party leaders likely to prefer someone else
•Association with out-of-mainstream father
•Would be unconventional nomination winner[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD]
walker_scott.png
[/TD]
[TD]Scott Walker
Governor, WI[/TD]
[TD]•Heroic conservative credentials
•Checks boxes for many wings of party
•If GOP doesn’t go South, it could go Midwest[/TD]
[TD]•Too bland? Next Pawlenty?
•Do lingering scandals hurt him?
•Not a polished speaker
•Does lack of college degree matter?[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD]
christie.png
[/TD]
[TD]Chris ChristieGovernor, NJ[/TD]
[TD]•Dynamic speaker
•The more Democrats and media criticize him, the more acceptable he becomes to GOP base
•Establishment favorite[/TD]
[TD]•Bridge scandal still playing out
•Bullying and out-of-control-staff questions
•Not conservative enough for base
•Roots for the Dallas Cowboys[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000000, colspan: 5"][SIZE=+2]Third Tier: The Outsiders[/SIZE][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD]
cruz_ted.png
[/TD]
[TD]Ted Cruz
Senator, TX[/TD]
[TD]•Dynamic speaker and politician
•Diversity + conservatism
•Anti-establishment nature plays well with base[/TD]
[TD]•Too extreme?
•Disliked on both sides of the Senate aisle
•Strong Tea Party support ensures establishment resistance to candidacy[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="width: 50"]
carson_ben.png
[/TD]
[TD]Ben Carson
Neurosurgeon and activist[/TD]
[TD]•Adored by Tea Party grassroots
•Diversity + conservatism
•Good on TV[/TD]
[TD]•No political experience whatsoever
•Gaffe-prone
•Little chance of establishment backing and funding[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000000, colspan: 5"][SIZE=+2]Fourth Tier: Establishment Alternatives[/SIZE][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD="width: 50"]
romney.png
[/TD]
[TD]Mitt Romney
Ex-Governor, MA;
’12 GOP presidential nominee[/TD]
[TD]•The ultimate fallback candidate: If party’s falling apart, it’s Mitt to the rescue
•Extremely well-vetted[/TD]
[TD]•Been around the track so often he’s muddy
•Poor campaign in ‘12 — same lack of enthusiasm from base
•Bush-Christie runs would probably crowd him out[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="width: 50"]
rubio.png
[/TD]
[TD]Marco Rubio
Senator, FL[/TD]
[TD]•Dynamic speaker and politician
•Diversity + conservatism
•Short time in Senate, which Obama proved could be a plus[/TD]
[TD]•Did his national star peak too soon?
•Went left on immigration, hurt him with base
•Bush run could push him out[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD="width: 50"]
kasich_john.png
[/TD]
[TD]John Kasich
Governor, OH[/TD]
[TD]•Long conservative record
•If GOP doesn’t go South, it could go Midwest
•Could be fallback for GOP establishment forces[/TD]
[TD]•Supported Medicaid expansion
•Makes verbal miscues, lots of video from time as Fox host
•Would he really excite anyone?
•Nobody’s first (or even second) choice[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="width: 50"]
snyder_rick.png
[/TD]
[TD]Rick Snyder
Governor, MI[/TD]
[TD]•Right to Work in major labor state
•If GOP doesn’t go South, it could go Midwest

•Washington outsider[/TD]
[TD]•Supported Medicaid expansion
•Activists have more exciting options
•Washington outsider (not high on establishment lists)[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000000, colspan: 5"][SIZE=+2]Fifth Tier: The Remainders[/SIZE][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD]
jindal.png
[/TD]
[TD]Bobby Jindal
Governor, LA[/TD]
[TD]•Diversity + conservatism
•Southerner in Southern-based party
•Deep and wide experience
•Knows how to toss red meat to base[/TD]
[TD]•Better on paper than on stump
•Controversial tenure in Louisiana
•His star has been brighter in the past; hasn’t yet lived up to national potential[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD]
perry.png
[/TD]
[TD]Rick Perry
Governor, TX[/TD]
[TD]•Showing clear improvement as a candidate — “second chance” mentality
•Running vigorously
•Texas fundraising
•Indictment? Could rally right if vindicated[/TD]
[TD]•Indictment
•Yesterday’s Texan? Has Ted Cruz eclipsed him?
•“Oops,” we forgot the rest; hard to make a second first impression[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD]
santorum.png
[/TD]
[TD]Rick Santorum
Ex-Senator, PA[/TD]
[TD]•Strong support from social conservatives
•2nd place finisher in ’12 — next in line?
•Been around primary track[/TD]
[TD]•Harder to stand out in much stronger ‘16 field
•Lost last Senate race by 17%
•Chip-on-shoulder attitude
•Social conservatives have flashier options[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000000, colspan: 5"][SIZE=+2]Sixth Tier: The Wild Cards[/SIZE][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="width: 50"]
huckabee.png
[/TD]
[TD="width: 94"]Mike Huckabee
Ex-Governor, AR[/TD]
[TD]•Already vetted
•Blue collar appeal
•Strong support from social conservatives
•Southerner in Southern-based party[/TD]
[TD]•Disliked by establishment for economic populism, social views — party leaders don’t think he’s electable
•Small fundraising base[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD="width: 50"]
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[/TD]
[TD]Mike Pence
Governor, IN[/TD]
[TD]•Extensive governing experience
•Excites conservatives, particularly social conservatives
•If GOP doesn’t go South, it could go Midwest[/TD]
[TD]•Low name ID nationally
•Would have to give up governorship to run[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="width: 50"]
fiorina_carly.png
[/TD]
[TD="width: 94"]Carly Fiorina
Former business executive[/TD]
[TD]•The only woman in the field
•Very wealthy, could self-fund
•Might be able to convince a few people she could compete in blue states
•Really the only Western candidate[/TD]
[TD]•Lost only race (2010 Senate) badly
•Probably too moderate
•Largely unknown, no base of support[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD="width: 50"]
graham_lindsey.png
[/TD]
[TD]Lindsey Graham
Senator, SC[/TD]
[TD]•Prominent Obama critic
•Generally liked by party leaders/establishment
•Media savvy[/TD]
[TD]•Vehemently disliked by grassroots
•Immigration reform efforts hurt him with conservatives
•Would be crowded out by other establishment candidates[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="width: 50"]
bolton_john.png
[/TD]
[TD]John Bolton
Ex-Ambassador to the United Nations[/TD]
[TD]•Foreign policy hardliner and expertise
•Media savvy[/TD]
[TD]•Relatively unknown
•No electoral experience, tough to see him putting together campaign infrastructure
•More gadlfy than candidate[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000000, colspan: 5"][SIZE=+2]Seventh Tier: Newt Gingrich Society —
“Want to buy a book?”[/SIZE][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD="width: 50"]
king_peter.png
[/TD]
[TD]Peter King
Representative, NY[/TD]
[TD]•Foreign policy hardliner and expertise
•Media savvy[/TD]
[TD]•Probably not conservative enough
•Small base of support (candidates from House rarely win)
•“Pete Who?”[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="width: 50"]
pataki_george.png
[/TD]
[TD="width: 94"]George Pataki
Ex-Governor, NY[/TD]
[TD]•Few enemies because no one remembers him
•Potential Wall Street fundraising base
•Very long elective experience[/TD]
[TD]•Time has passed him by: “George Who?”
•Zero grassroots excitement[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD="width: 50"]
ehrlich_bob.png
[/TD]
[TD]Bob Ehrlich
Ex-Governor, MD[/TD]
[TD]•**Crickets**
— e-mail us if you can think of one[/TD]
[TD]•Lost twice to…Martin O’Malley
•Time has passed him by: “Bob Who?”
•No grassroots support[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
List changes
Additions: John Bolton, Bob Ehrlich, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Peter King, George Pataki, Rick Snyder
Subtractions: Rob Portman, Paul Ryan








2016 Democratic Presidential Watch

Updated Dec. 18, 2014
[TABLE="width: 600"]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000000, colspan: 5"][SIZE=+2]First Tier[/SIZE][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #0070C0"]
[TH="colspan: 2"]Candidate[/TH]
[TH="width: 179"]Key Primary Advantages[/TH]
[TH="width: 179"]Key Primary Disadvantages[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD]
clinton_hillary.png
[/TD]
[TD]Hillary Clinton
Ex-Secretary of State[/TD]
[TD]•Very popular within party, more so than in ’08
•Pro-Iraq War vote fading in importance
•Woman: chance to make history
•Can potentially scare away most/all strong opponents if she runs (unlike ’08)[/TD]
[TD]•Age (69 by Election Day ’16)
•Ran unfocused, too-many-cooks ‘08 campaign; could make similar mistakes in ’16
•Keeping Bill in check — and on the porch
•Peaking too soon? Already dominating headlines day after day
•What policy rationale is there for a new Clinton presidency?[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000000, colspan: 5"][SIZE=+2]Second Tier[/SIZE][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD="width: 50"]
warren_elizabeth.png
[/TD]
[TD="width: 128"]Elizabeth Warren
Senator, MA[/TD]
[TD]•Adored by Dem activists
•Claims not to be running but is very visible
•Woman — same history-making potential as Clinton
•National ID and fundraising network[/TD]
[TD]•Still seems unlikely to run against Clinton
•Electability? Democrats seem to care more about that than Republicans
•’12 campaign baggage[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="width: 50"]
biden_joe.png
[/TD]
[TD="width: 128"]Joe Biden
Vice President[/TD]
[TD]•Vast experience
•Next in line?
•VP bully pulpit[/TD]
[TD]•Age (73 by Election Day ’16)
•Gaffe machine
•Poor presidential campaign history[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000000, colspan: 5"][SIZE=+2]Third Tier[/SIZE][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD="width: 50"]
webb_jim.png
[/TD]
[TD]Jim Webb
Ex-Senator, VA[/TD]
[TD]•Unique populist niche
•Strong military background with Democratic views[/TD]
[TD]•Not liberal enough
•Unpredictable
•Not the best stump speaker[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="width: 50"]
sanders_bernie.png
[/TD]
[TD]Bernie Sanders
Senator (Ind.), VT[/TD]
[TD]•Left loves him
•Small-donor fundraising potential[/TD]
[TD]•Not actually a Democrat
•Electability? Democrats seem to care more about that than Republicans[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD="width: 50"]
omalley_martin.png
[/TD]
[TD="width: 128"]Martin O’Malley
Governor, MD[/TD]
[TD]•Willing and very available
•Liberal record and policy achievements[/TD]
[TD]•Baltimore baggage
•Loss of Maryland governorship
•Nationally unknown[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000000, colspan: 5"][SIZE=+2]Would Only Run If Hillary Clinton Doesn’t[/SIZE][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD]
gillibrand_kirsten.png
[/TD]
[TD]Kirsten Gillibrand
Senator, NY[/TD]
[TD]•Woman — same history-making potential as Clinton
•Fairly strong liberal record
•NY fundraising base[/TD]
[TD]•Bland persona
•Nationally unknown
•Past NRA support?[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD]
klobuchar_amy.png
[/TD]
[TD]Amy Klobuchar
Senator, MN[/TD]
[TD]•Woman — same history-making potential as Clinton
•Moderate-liberal record[/TD]
[TD]•Nationally unknown[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
List changes
Subtractions: Gov. Andrew Cuomo (NY)
Never on the list, won’t be after Ferguson: Gov. Jay Nixon (MO)


350px-2016_US_Senate_election_seats.png

United States elections, 2016 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

 
Einerseits sind die US Wahlkämpfe immer gute Unterhaltung. Andererseits ist es auch Zeitverschwendung. Der Kandidatenrummel in den Medien macht den Endruck, als wären die vielen kleinen Details zu den Kandidaten wichtig. Aber sind sie ja nicht. Was haben wir nicht alles über Obama diskutiert. Und am Ende bleibt kaum was übrig, weil sein Spielraum im Amt viel zu klein ist für große Überraschungen. Einzig dass McCain nach der 2008 Wahl aussenpolitisch wahrscheinlich viel aggressiver gewesen wäre war noch eine Diskussion wert.
 
koelner schrieb:
Einerseits sind die US Wahlkämpfe immer gute Unterhaltung. Andererseits ist es auch Zeitverschwendung. Der Kandidatenrummel in den Medien macht den Endruck, als wären die vielen kleinen Details zu den Kandidaten wichtig. Aber sind sie ja nicht. Was haben wir nicht alles über Obama diskutiert. Und am Ende bleibt kaum was übrig, weil sein Spielraum im Amt viel zu klein ist für große Überraschungen. Einzig dass McCain nach der 2008 Wahl aussenpolitisch wahrscheinlich viel aggressiver gewesen wäre war noch eine Diskussion wert.
Zum Vergrößern anklicken....
Es besteht ein Interesse über die Personen deswegen ist es normal jede Kleinigkeit zu zeigen
 
Die Aussagen von Clinton werden in den Medien doch ständig so zitiert, als sei sie eine der wichtigsten amerikanischen Politikerinnen, dabei hat sie momentan gar kein Amt inne. Daran erkennt man doch schon, wen für 2016 die große Favoritenrolle einnimmt.

Ich persönlich hoffe aber auf Rand Paul oder Elizabeth Warren.
 
Ich hoffe ein Republikaner gewinnt die Wahl und räumt dann wieder mal einbischen auf.

Die Demokraten sind Weicheier, aber es ist ja immer so, zwei Mandate die Republikaner die dann immer Die Welt aufräumen und dann zwei Mandate die Demokraten.
 
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